empirical security logo

ENTERPRISE SECURITY MODELS · A NEW CATEGORY

Predict attacks
with the only security models
custom-built for each enterprise.

Empirical builds a security model for your organization alone. You get a calibrated 30-day probability of where attackers will break in, so you can get there first.

Our models

Close

Foundation

A global model that combines real-time internet exploitation telemetry with EPSS and monitors over 19,000+ exploited CVEs to help you prioritize and remediate threats.

Radiant

A custom built local model that uses everything in Foundation plus your own local assets, configurations, and internal telemetry to predict threats specific to your organization.

Foundation+Your environment=Radiant

“This is light years ahead of other tools.”

Security Lead · Fortune 100 Financial Services

CVEs covered

400,000

With active exploitation

19,000

Models refreshed

Hourly

The problem

Vulnerabilities are accelerating.
Exploits aren’t.

Mythos and AI have pushed vulnerabilities beyond where humans can prioritize and patch with legacy tools. Your team has to search an expanding attack surface for a small, but growing, number of real attacks.

Cumulative CVEs published Exploited CVEs
0 100k 200k 300k 400k 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2017 – 2026 → GROWTH IN EXPOSURES →

The gap

Thousands of new findings to search. Only a handful are real attacks.

Exploits · barely moving

Real-world exploitation stays almost flat while the noise keeps climbing.

Quarterly, Jan 2017 – Jul 2026 · cumulative CVEs vs exploited CVEs

Source: Empirical

The Empirical solution

Not a frontier model.
Your model.

Frontier models are language models. Ours are built on prediction and probability, built by hand for each customer to reflect your unique assets and attributes, then trained and updated. You know what to fix, and what to delay.

Your model · layered on your environment

Static severity scores & generic feeds

One score for every company

Thousands of findings marked critical

Updated when the advisory changes

Can’t say what’s safe to delay

Asks you to trust the score

An Empirical model

Built by hand for your environment

Calibrated 30-day probability

Refreshed every hour

Shows what’s safe to delay

Benchmarks its own accuracy

How it works

Close

Our platform supports Empirical’s Radiant and Foundation models. The Foundation model, trained on ~2 million exploitation events, captures attacker behavior across the internet. Radiant models, trained on your environment’s telemetry, capture more targeted attacks. The two models work together to surface the vulnerabilities most likely to be exploited in your infrastructure.

External data
Local data
EMPIRICAL ModelsRadiant + Foundation
Platform
UI
API
Agent

The capacity view

Close

If your team can only work X% of the backlog, how much of the real exploitation activity does that cover? The Coverage vs Effort curve answers exactly that, and shows the tradeoff behind any prioritization strategy.

7% → 90%

Working just the top 7% of Empirical Foundation scores covers 90% of observed exploited vulnerabilities.

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 10 9 8 7.2 0.97 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.01 Empirical Foundation CVSS 7% effort Effort (% vulnerabilities prioritized) Coverage

Effort

The share of all vulnerabilities you prioritize.

Coverage

The share of exploited vulnerabilities inside that set.

Trained on 19,000+ exploited CVEs

Close

Our models are trained on over 19,000 known exploited CVEs. Here is what that buys you against CVSS.

It would take more than 10× the people and resources to prioritize potential threats using CVSS than Empirical.

CVSS 9+ (Critical)

  • Threshold: 0.9
  • Effort: 14.4%
  • Coverage: 40.4%
  • Efficiency: 9.5%

Empirical Radiant (same effort)Better coverage and efficiency

  • Threshold: 0.028
  • Effort: 14.4%
  • Coverage: 95.4%
  • Efficiency: 22.4%
Published CVEsPrioritized CVEsExploited CVEs

Local model results may vary depending on your security dataset.

The Empirical agent

Ask how you’re doing. See the proof.

Our agent runs on your models. Ask in plain language and it answers with your own data: what you’ve fixed, how much risk it removed, and what to do next.

  1. 01Opens anywhere with ⌘ / ⊞ + J
  2. 02Answers from your Radiant model, not a generic feed
  3. 03Builds live reports you can share with the board
See the Agent in a Demo

Ready to gain predictive powers?

See what your own security model predicts: your environment, your telemetry, your risk.

Take a Demo